Trade

Globalisation, New Data, Trade

Insights on engagement in global value chains in 2023

8 minute readGetting timely information on global value chains is of key interest to policymaking, given the renewed interest in their resilience since the COVID-19 crisis. This article updates nowcasts of selected TiVA indicators for 2021-23 for 41 countries (36 OECD countries and Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, South Africa) and 24 industries, building on the OECD TiVA database, most recent data on balance of payments, national accounts and short-term indicators of the business cycles.

read more
Machine Learning, Trade

Nowcasting trade in value added indicators

8 minute readIntegration in global value chains has been high on the policy agenda since the start of the COVID-19 crisis. But indicators of trade in value added are often published with a long delay, limiting their relevance for policymaking. This column seeks to nowcast those indicators for 41 economies and 24 sectors for 2021 and 2022, using a range of models. The share of domestic value added in exports is estimated to have fallen in 2021-22, while domestic services value-added shares of exports are expected to have been broadly stable and the share of domestic value added embodied in foreign demand is nowcasted to have recovered over the period.

read more
Gender, Trade

Women are less engaged in trade: Why, and what to do about it

10 minute readInternational trade is a major driver of economic growth, with exporting firms earning greater profits, paying higher wages, and growing faster than non-exporting firms. But women entrepreneurs are less likely to engage in international trade, leaving them unable to capitalise on such benefits.
This column analyses the factors inhibiting women-led firms from trading internationally and suggests policies to overcome them. Ensuring that businesses led by women are able to take advantage of international trade will foster gender equality, help close gender wage gaps, and contribute to more inclusive economic growth.

read more
Economic Growth, Globalisation, Trade

Facing economic headwinds: Global trade in 2022

5 minute readGlobal trade expanded in 2022 despite the challenging economic environment. Based on available information, OECD estimates suggest both merchandise and services trade increased by around 12% compared to 2021, as measured in current US dollars.
The annual growth in merchandise trade is the result of rapid expansion in the first half of the year.

read more